2 October 2024

In this episode of Virtually Live, Shannon Rivkin covers: METAL HAWK (MHK), Firebrick Pharma (FRE), Woodside Energy (WDS) and more.

In this week’s show

00:44 – Q1:What are your views on MHK?

 

03:27 – Q2:Do you have an opinion on Firebrick Pharma which has started marketing their anti viral nasal spray in America ?

 

07:03 – Q3:Woodside announced (on 25 August) an 11% increase to their net profit. Is it possible to have a reasonable estimate of the dividends payable?  The recent September dividend paid was $1.02.  That is 18 % less than the dividend paid In September last year.  The March 2024 dividend was $.91.  Any thoughts regarding what the March 2025 dividend may be?  As a general, broad rule, dividends follow earnings.  Dividend yields become increasingly important with future reductions in interest rates.

 

12:13 – Q4:Citi has cut their price target to $23.  (The shares closed at $25.20 today.)  Macquarie’s recent target was $33.00.  Other Analysts have their targets at $33.50, $31.70, $30.70, $30.00, $28.50 and $28.10. Do you know the proportions of Gas, Oil and Hydrocarbon produced by Woodside, as a percentage of their sales?  In the period from January to August, sales of EV cars in Australia was 7.6.% of total vehicle sales.  Hybrid vehicle sales was 15.5 % for the same period. That is a world wide trend at the moment.  That still leaves 77% of sales being for “traditional” vehicles. Woodside may have a great opportunity to capitalize on the growing need for hydrocarbon?

 

13:28 – Q5:Major Investment Funds’ interest in Woodside is very interesting.  Black Rock increased their holding from 6.13% to 7.14% on 5/2/24.  State Street increased their holding from 5.04% to 6.08% on 1/4/24, and to 7.12% on 12/9/24.  Australian super announced a 5.02% holding on 5/7/24.  It appears that that was a block purchase. (95,290,819 shares.) They increased their holding to 6.14% on 28/8/24.  There was “no shareholder sell activity.”

I sold some shares in Woodside the other day, to get set in another company.   I don’t feel a burning need to sell any more.  I would appreciate any thoughts that some-one may have with regard to Woodside.

 

15:00 – Q6:I bought into Pro Medicus Limited (PME) a few months ago at $130 and has quickly escalated to $180.I bought it following a news story in a rival investment advice firm which I receive emails. The chart is showing a spectacular upward trajectory and was wondering should I at least reduce my exposure by %50 as what goes up quickly can go down just as fast.The company even paid a small recent dividend. the P/E ratio is 220x.Just after your thoughts.

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